Heterogeneous expectations, forecasting behaviour and policy experiments in a hybrid Agent-based Stock-flow-consistent model
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Forecasting Stock Price using Hybrid Model based on Wavelet Transform in Tehran and New York Stock Market
Forecasting financial markets is an important issue in finance area and research studies. On one hand, the importance of prediction, and on the other hand, its complexity, have led to huge number of researches which have proposed many forecasting methods in this area. In this study, we propose a hybrid model including Wavelet Transform, ARMA-GARCH and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for single-...
متن کاملmortality forecasting based on lee-carter model
over the past decades a number of approaches have been applied for forecasting mortality. in 1992, a new method for long-run forecast of the level and age pattern of mortality was published by lee and carter. this method was welcomed by many authors so it was extended through a wider class of generalized, parametric and nonlinear model. this model represents one of the most influential recent d...
15 صفحه اولA Sentiment-based Hybrid Model for Stock Return Forecasting
Real-world financial time series often contain both linear and nonlinear patterns. However, traditional time series analysis models, such as ARIMA, hold the assumption that a linear correlation exists among time series values while leaving nonlinear relation into error terms. Based on financial theories, we argue that investor sentiment is the main contributor to nonlinear pattern of stock time...
متن کاملPolicy Targeting with Model-Consistent Expectations
Studies of inflation targeting make the distinction between strict and flexible inflation targeting. The problem of strict inflation targeting has so far been analysed by treating it as a special case of a standard optimal control problem and the algorithms used have not provided an exact solution. This paper presents a formal solution to the problem of strict inflation targeting in a economy w...
متن کاملPerformance Analysis of Hybrid Forecasting Model In Stock Market Forecasting
This paper presents performance analysis of hybrid model comprise of concordance and Genetic Programming (GP) to forecast financial market with some existing models. This scheme can be used for in depth analysis of stock market. Different measures of concordances such as Kendall’s Tau, Gini’s Mean Difference, Spearman’s Rho, and weak interpretation of concordance are used to search for the patt...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Evolutionary Economics
سال: 2020
ISSN: 0936-9937,1432-1386
DOI: 10.1007/s00191-020-00683-7